Plus, World Cup spending’s final score, and private credit’s redemption headlines. ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­    ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­  
View in browser
Hilton Capital Management Logo

The Disciplined Investor

July 30, 2026

Top Line

Private credit redemptions are making headlines—but what’s really behind them?

Plus, World Cup fans put up some serious numbers off the field, and there’s a case for looking beyond mega-cap tech for the next leg of the AI trade. All that, plus the week’s market-moving data, ahead.

​
HILTON NEWS

Will Private Credit See a Summer Thaw?

Check out our latest blog exploring recent redemption headlines in private credit, what they may signal about the market, and why today’s environment could present opportunities for investors.

Read the blog
​
Industry News

Has the RIA Valuation Boom Peaked?

Acquisition activity is still accelerating, but expectations for ever-higher valuations appear to be giving way to a more balanced market. Wealth Management

Putting Paper in the Burn Pile

The SEC’s proposed Regulation E-Delivery could replace paper as the default for delivering required investor communications. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

Going Global

Moneta’s latest move suggests international expansion is becoming a meaningful growth lever for larger advisory firms. Wealth Management

The Next Big Wealth Opportunity? AI Employees

RIAs are increasingly building specialized practices around clients whose wealth is being created by the AI boom. Investment News

Macro Moves

How Much Did World Cup Fans Spend? The Final Score

Turns out World Cup fans came to spend, not just cheer. U.S. host cities saw spending rise 5.4% year over year during the group stage, with visiting fans spending 17.4% more—proof that a packed stadium means a busy Main Street too. Bank of America

Consumers Trade Down, Value Retailers Gain Ground

Bank of America finds lower-income households account for a larger share of retail spending outside gas and autos, with discount apparel and value grocers gaining momentum. Bank of America

Is a $763 Car Payment the New Normal?

The typical new-vehicle payment rose to $763 in June, while the estimated average loan rate reached 9.58%. Higher prices and borrowing costs slightly outpaced income growth, making new vehicles marginally less affordable. Cox Automotive

In Focus

AI’s Next Chapter: Following the Money Beyond Mega-Cap Tech

For the past two years, the AI investment story has been dominated by a familiar cast of mega-cap technology companies pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into data centers, chips, and computing infrastructure. But the next phase of the opportunity may look very different.

 

As those investments begin to work their way through the economy, it appears the benefits may be extending beyond the largest technology companies. Businesses that build, connect, power, and maintain AI infrastructure are seeing increased demand, and many of those companies reside in the small- and mid-cap universe.

Hilton Portfolio Manager Tom Maher recently joined the Charles Schwab Network to discuss this evolving dynamic and why investors may want to broaden their view of the AI opportunity. While the largest technology companies continue to command much of the attention, Tom highlighted a growing opportunity among second- and third-order beneficiaries of AI spending—companies that are building the infrastructure that enables the AI revolution.

 

Those opportunities span a wide range of industries. Engineering and construction firms helping build data centers, fiber network providers connecting AI infrastructure, electrical equipment companies, and businesses supporting power generation are all seeing increased demand as AI-related capital spending moves through the broader economy. These businesses may offer compelling opportunities because many have yet to attract the same level of investor attention—or valuations—as the most recognizable AI names.

 

Importantly, this broadening opportunity is also beginning to show up in the fundamentals. As Tom noted during his appearance on the Charles Schwab Network, earnings expectations for small- and mid-cap companies appear to be improving relative to their large-cap peers, supported by both AI-related spending and signs of renewed activity across parts of the industrial economy that have experienced muted demand in recent years.

 

For investors, the question may no longer simply be, who is building AI. These days it may be more like, who stands to benefit as those investments ripple through the economy. Increasingly, the answer may include high-quality small- and mid-cap companies positioned at critical points throughout the AI infrastructure value chain.

 

Watch the full interview to hear Tom’s thoughts on the evolving AI investment landscape and the opportunities emerging across the small- and mid-cap universe.

From the Team

“With higher rates, wider credit spreads and more issuance, it appears that it’s becoming costlier for hyperscalers to fund CapEx—and harder for them to generate a return, which is what the market seems to be  focused on.” 一Timothy Reilly, President

Timothy Reilly, President

“Several companies have pointed to a recovery in the industrial and manufacturing parts of the economy, increasing our conviction that this is an emerging theme.” 一Thomas B. Maher, Portfolio Manager

Thomas B. Maher
Drill Down

Have We Solved the Wrong Retirement Problem?

Americans are saving more for retirement than ever—but many still lack a reliable retirement paycheck. A new Brookings analysis argues that while policymakers have focused on helping workers accumulate assets, far less attention has been paid to helping retirees convert those savings into dependable lifetime income. 

Read the Brookings analysis
Looking Forward

Indicator Release Date
Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report 7-30-26
Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Second Quarter 2026 (Advance Estimate) 7-30-26
Headline/Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index - Personal Income & Outlays 7-30-26
ISM Manufacturing PMI, ISM Services PMI 8-3-26, 8-5-26
Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) 8-4-26
Jobs Report (Nonfarm Payroll, Labor Participation Rate & Unemployment Rate) 8-7-26
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 8-12-26
Producer Price Index (PPI) 8-13-26
From the Vault

The End of “Creative Accounting”

In the wake of Enron, WorldCom and other accounting scandals, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act was signed into law on July 30, 2002, ushering in tougher financial reporting standards, stronger internal controls and greater accountability for corporate executives and auditors.

 

In other words: fewer artful accounting tricks, more signatures on the dotted line—and a whole lot more work for finance teams.

Bottom Line

Looking ahead, markets may remain volatile as investors weigh the Fed, higher-for-longer rates, oil prices, and the sustainability of AI spending.

At the same time, improving earnings, attractive valuations and signs of recovery in industrials and manufacturing could support broader market leadership, particularly in quality, value, and select financials.

Hilton Capital Management

Understanding the signals that shape markets is key to serving your clients effectively.

Stay informed, stay ahead, and connect with our team to enhance your investment toolkit today.

Contact Us

Hilton Capital Management, LLC (“HCM”) is a registered investment adviser with its principal place of business in the State of New York. For additional information about HCM, including fees and services, you can review our Form ADV Part 2A at https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/116357 or request a copy using the contact information herein. Please read the Form ADV carefully before you invest or send money.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Funds are distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC and certain employees of HCM are registered as Registered Representatives of Foreside.

 

Hypha HubSpot Development ("Hypha") and Hilton Capital Management staff ("HCM") collaborated in the preparation of this newsletter. Hypha is a marketing firm engaged and compensated by HCM. HCM has reviewed and approved this for distribution. The information set forth within should not be construed as personalized investment advice. There is no guarantee that the views and opinions expressed will come to pass. Investing in the markets involves gains and losses and may not be suitable for all investors. The information set forth here should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security.

 

This newsletter is not intended as, and does not constitute, an offer to sell any securities to any person or solicitation of any person of an offer to purchase any securities.  No offer to sell (or solicitation of an offer to buy) will be or is hereby made in any jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation would be unlawful. This newsletter is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any investor. None of the content should be construed as specific investment advice, or replacement for investment advice from HCM, or any other investment professional.

 

The information is provided as of the date of delivery hereof, is condensed and is subject to change without notice.  Some information may have been provided by or compiled based on information provided by third party sources.  Although HCM believes the sources are reliable, it has not independently verified any such information and makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of such information.

Hilton Capital Management, 1050 Franklin Avenue, 5th Floor, Garden City, NY 11530, United States

Unsubscribe Manage preferences