Insights

Hilton’s Tactical Income Strategy began 2025 with a heightened focus on risk calibration as evolving macroeconomic dynamics and geopolitical developments gave rise to a more asymmetric distribution of outcomes. In contrast to the relative stability of late 2024, the first quarter of 2025 introduced ...

In the Rolling Stones song “Jumping Jack Flash,” Keith Richards refers to his arrival in a war-ravaged London with the line “I was born in a crossfire hurricane.” We are hard pressed to think of a better way to summarize markets so far in 2025: a crossfire hurricane. The chaotic mix of shifting poli...

In today's dynamic investment landscape, change is the sole constant. Markets are experiencing turbulence due to uncertainty from fluctuating economic indicators and rapidly evolving global trends.

Hilton Capital Management has been named to the PSN Top Guns List for Q4 2024, earning recognition for its Small & Mid Cap Opportunities (SMCO) and Dividend & Yield (DIVYS) strategies.

In 2024, Hilton Capital’s Dividend & Yield Strategy (DIVYS) showcased its strength and effectiveness, successfully maneuvering through a complex and dynamic market environment marked by swiftly evolving narratives. The year was characterized by a striking contrast: on one hand, the continued suprema...

Hilton’s Tactical Income Strategy demonstrated resilience and efficacy throughout 2024, navigating a complex market landscape characterized by rapidly changing narratives. The year was defined by a compelling dichotomy: the continued dominance of the “Magnificent 7” tech giants versus an emerging tr...

2024 provided investors with no shortage of ups and downs, beginning with a strong rally but ending with a whimper. Despite the subdued finish, it was a profitable year overall, with most equity market indices delivering healthy gains. The small- and mid-cap (smid) space posted solid returns, though...

After an extended period of subdued merger and acquisition (M&A) activity—largely driven by higher interest rates, persistent inflation, and increased regulatory scrutiny—recent signs suggest that deal-making could be poised for a meaningful rebound in 2025.

In a market heavily dominated by the "Magnificent Seven" tech giants, the small and mid-cap sector may hold the key to new opportunities for investors. Tom Maher, Hilton’s Small & Mid Cap Opportunities portfolio manager, highlights the potential of this often-overlooked asset class in a video discus...

In our prior quarterly letter, we expressed concerns regarding the alarmingly narrow market breadth, heavily influenced by a select group of mega-cap technology companies. However, the third quarter has ushered in a notable shift, highlighted by increased market participation across various sectors....

The third quarter of 2024 marked a significant shift from the previous quarter, characterized most notably by a broadening market participation across sectors. Within a span of just three months, the market's narrative shifted dramatically. The focus pivoted from a prevailing trend of disinflation, ...

“It Don’t Come Easy”, released by ex-Beatle Ringo Starr in 1970, was a hit and still gets airtime today. Does the song owe its permanence to Ringo’s musical prowess or the inertia of Beatles magic? We’ll be generous and say it’s a little of both. Regardless, the title aptly describes the stock marke...

The long-standing positive correlation between equity prices and Treasury bond yields has reversed course in recent years. Since 2022, we've observed more frequent intervals of negative correlation, interrupting the positive correlation pattern of the past decade.

In the wake of recent market turbulence, including an abrupt broadening of market leadership, Tom Maher, Hilton’s veteran Small and Mid Cap Opportunities (SMCO) portfolio manager, provides expert analysis on the challenges and opportunities facing investors.

As an investment team, we constantly seek to garner a holistic view of the investment landscape. We meticulously analyze various types of data, including macroeconomic indicators, fixed income, equity, and other markets. For the management of SMCO, an equity-only product, we take particular note of ...

The second quarter of 2024 presented numerous economic cross currents, leading to mixed outcomes across different sectors, companies, and the broader market. The ongoing trend of disinflation, coupled with above-trend growth and optimistic earnings expectations, buoyed certain asset classes and sect...

As we mark the 10th anniversary of Hilton's Dividend and Yield Strategy (DIVYS), we are both humbled by the trust you’ve placed in us and energized by the opportunities that lie ahead, reflecting on a decade of strategic outperformance, resilience through market cycles, and unwavering commitment to ...

In the wake of an increasingly uncertain economic backdrop, narrowing earnings growth, and heightened market risk, market discussions have pivoted to a renewed focus on active management.

This month, we’re celebrating the 10th anniversary of our Dividend & Yield strategy (DIVYS), a distinctive, large-cap dividend approach helmed by esteemed Portfolio Manager and Co-Chief Investment Officer Alex Oxenham.

The lower-than-expected monthly job growth report released on May 3 further bolsters the growing narrative that the labor market, while robust, is showing signs of loosening.

The release of The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars in 1972 proved pivotal for David Bowie, boosting his career into interstellar overdrive. As I started to think about writing this quarter’s letter the opening track, “Five Years,” came to mind. With SMCO hitting the five-ye...

By all metrics Q1 2024 was an undeniably optimistic ride, underlined by the continuation of a soft landing, recession odds declining, inflation receding and rate cuts in the Fed queue. Economic data is supporting the optimism; the jobs picture remains strong, the inflation picture improving, despite...

2024 is off to a strong start with the S&P 500 having its best start since 2019 and continuing the momentum that began in Q423. Since the “risk on” rally began on 10/27/23, the performance of the S&P has been impressive:

A healthy labor market, which often includes significant immigrant participation, is crucial for a flourishing economy characterized by steady and sustainable growth with relatively low inflation. The central bank’s (the Fed’s) dual mandate, to achieve maximum employment and price stability, is in s...

An Upswing in Q42023 Earnings The Q423 earnings season has surpassed expectations, providing another catalyst to the equity markets. S&P 500 earnings growth was nearly 8%, a significant improvement over the expectations of 1.2%. Of the 97% of S&P 500 companies that have reported, 76% have had positi...

The Year of the Rabbit In 2023, the Gregorian calendar was designated the year of the rabbit—a symbol of good fortune and rebirth. Perhaps, then, it’s no surprise 2023’s markets closed in a similarly spirited fashion. Fourth quarter returns leaped happily to a banner finish, dodging a handful of obs...

I. Fourth Quarter 2023: Keeping up with the Russells Ok, let’s get this out of the way right away – we did not keep up. SMCO did end the year on a strong note, generating a +10.5% gross/+10.3% net return in the fourth quarter, but Mr. Market embraced the softening inflation and positive economic dat...

As we bid farewell to 2023, we reflect on a year that presented an array of challenges and unexpected turns for the U.S. economy and financial markets. The past 12 months unfolded as a tumultuous journey, marked by a convergence of complex factors that tested the resilience of economic foundations.

In today's rapidly evolving economic landscape, understanding financial conditions is essential for investors, policymakers, businesses, and others focused on the health of the economy. Financial conditions refer to a complex mix of financial factors (expressed in indices) that collectively paint a ...

The debate over whether the economy will eventually experience a “hard” or “soft” landing continues to dominate market attention. The extended supply chain dislocations, crippling inflation, and 16 months of Fed (Federal Open Market Committee) policy tightening have all contributed to an atmosphere ...

With the continuing rise in interest rates, yield instruments have increasingly captured the attention of hungry investors. However, “yield” can have a range of meanings and calculations within the market ecosystem. Understandably, determining which yield to use for which investment can get confusin...

“Meaningful downward pressure.” These were Federal Open Market Committee (Fed) Chairman Powell’s words last week explaining a third consecutive rate hike of 0.75% in the fight against a defiantly steep U.S. inflation rate.

Headline Inflation (Consumer Price Index) The All Items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: for the U.S. City Average (CPI) is a comprehensive index used to measure US price inflation. It’s also referred to as “headline inflation” because it’s the measurement most commonly reported in the ...